Thursday, January 28, 2010

Growing Drivers for Rural Indian Opportunity

RISING INCOMES: Due to a number of factors such as microfinance products, exemption from income tax, NREGA, mass media penetration, investment in rural infrastructure and the increased production of higher-value crops, disposable incomes in rural households are increasing, thus creating a positive scope for retail opportunity in rural India.

COMPARABLE GROWTH: The spending patterns of rural consumers are now comparable to their urban counterparts. The rural middle class is growing at 12 per cent as against the urban middle class growing at 13 per cent.
SECTOR-WIDE GROWTH: Various sectors have witnessed growth in the last few years. For instance, the FMCG market has grown by 23 per cent and the telecom industry by 31 per cent in rural India.
RISING DEMAND: Media penetration has increased awareness among rural consumers. This has increased their willingness to spend, creating demand for modernised products in place of locally available items. The demand for premium brands has also risen in rural households

How Korean consumer durable majors knocked out rivals




How Korean consumer durable majors LG and Samsung knocked out rivals in the fight for market share and brand recall.
Ravinder Zutshi
Some time in the middle of 1994, the Dhoots of Videocon put their brightest man, Ravinder Zutshi, on a special project. They had been approached by Samsung which was keen to sell its consumer electronics in India. The Korean company had proposed a joint venture which could source products from Videocon’s factories at Aurangabad in Maharashtra. Zutshi was asked to study the possibilities.
Quantitative research threw up no surprises. Unaided awareness about Samsung was close to zero, aided awareness was slightly better at 7 per cent. People thought the Japanese were the masters of all technology, and the Koreans were at best imitators. But when he dug deeper, Zutshi found deep dissatisfaction amongst consumers from multinational (Sony, Sanyo, National, Philips and others) as well as Indian (Videocon, Onida, BPL et al) brands. The consumers’ aspiration and awareness were high, but the technology made available to them was low. And there was no indication that any of them would invest in the latest technology. After-sale service existed only on paper.
 
LEADING THE PACK
Combined market share of LG and Samsung
TVs 45%
LCD TVs 63%
Refrigerators 43%
Washing machines 41%
ACs 42%
Microwave ovens 48%
Source: Industry
Zutshi’s report said there was a big gap that could be exploited. With better technology, contemporary products and a customer-friendly disposition, Samsung stood a fair chance in the market. The Dhoots trusted Zutshi. If Samsung did well, they argued, their factories at Aurangabad would run at full capacity, and whenever the foreign investment rules were further liberalised, they could sell their stake to the Korean chaebol and make a neat pile of money. Quickly, they formed a 49:51 company with Samsung. It was 1995.
Around the same time, LG (it was at that time known as Lucky Goldstar) sent a large and high-powered team to India. The odds were stacked against the company — low awareness of its brand, poor perception of Korean technology and so on. But the team saw that the Japanese were not too interested in India; Europe and the US were their primary focus. This had made Indian brands complacent, and they lacked the financial wherewithal to come out with cutting-edge technology.
LG also found out that education was very high on the agenda of Indians. The team members knew that it was education that had transformed South Korea from a poor agrarian country into a developed industrial powerhouse in a matter of decades. The same would happen in India, the team reported to its bosses back home. The LG brass was convinced and made up its mind to enter India. As rules did not allow a fully-owned subsidiary, it first tried its luck with Bestavision and then with Chandra Kant Birla. Finally, in 1997, when the foreign ownership rules were relaxed, it came on its own.
Moon Bum ShinCut to the present. In most product categories of the consumer electronics market, LG and Samsung lord it over a market share of over 40 per cent — television, refrigerators, air-conditioners, washing machines and microwave ovens. Outside South Korea, this has not happened in any other large market. In certain categories, their products sell at prices similar to Japanese rivals — a clear indication that the perception of the Koreans being poor cousins of the Japanese is history. Their brand recall is universal. Indian brands, with the exception of Videocon, which has now hired ex-LG honcho Kwang Ro Kim as chief executive, are on oxygen. LG did business of $2.8 billion in 2009. India accounts for about 6 per cent of LG’s worldwide turnover. “We want to raise it to at least 10 per cent by 2012,” says LG India Managing Director Moon Bum Shin. “By 2015, India will become the second largest contributor to LG’s revenue after the US and ahead of (South) Korea,” he adds. Samsung crossed the $2-billion mark in 2009 — India is around 2 per cent of its global turnover. How did the Koreans get the better of rivals in India?
Strong foundation
Both LG and Samsung knew that half measures wouldn’t work in India. Thus, LG has invested $300 million and Samsung $200 million in two production facilities each. “It wasn’t a global factory that also supplied to India. We didn’t want to make the customers wait,” says Rajeev Karwal, who drove sales and marketing at LG from 1997 to 2003, then headed Philips and Electrolux in India, and now runs a consultancy for small-scale enterprises called Milagrow. Apart from Videocon, no rival of the Koreans has put up large production facilities. “In terms of investments and technology, no other Indian company apart from Videocon had the might to rival them,” says Videocon Chairman Venugopal Dhoot.
LG and Samsung brought the latest products, customised them to Indian conditions (Samsung, for instance, reduced the size of the freezer in its fridges because Indians didn’t want it; LG cut out all frills that were not required in India) and began to give quick after-sale service. Samsung, says Zutshi, now deputy managing director, Samsung India (the Dhoots exited the venture in tranches by 2002; it had broken even by 1998), was the first in the industry to give uniform training to all technicians. “When pagers came in July 1995, we gave one to all technicians across metros,” says he. Also crucial were the Korean price tags. LG as well as Samsung prices were up to 20 per cent below Sony, but around 10 per cent higher than Indian rivals. The brands were positioned as value for money.
They spent large sums of money on brand promotion. Both LG and Samsung now earmark 4 to 5 per cent of their turnover for brand development, above- as well as below-the-line. This translates to ad spends of at least Rs 400-500 crore from each. In the initial days, when they were yet to build scale, help poured in from their Korean parents in liberal measures. The Koreans knew little about cricket but were quick to join the bandwagon in India.
But how did they address the quality perception? For the first three months, Samsung campaigns focused on its technological achievements. It was, after all, the world leader in colour picture tubes and semiconductors. “If you don’t want the best, go to Sony, National and Philips, we said in our advertisements,” says Zutshi. Karwal says he was able to convince the LG brass that it should build on its Korean heritage and not hide it. “The company wanted to play on the Goldstar brand because it had some recall. But I argued that it had failed in India so why harp on it? We went ahead with LG. I said let’s not pretend to be what we are not.”
“Where they have scored,” says the top functionary of a rival, “is that they treated India differently than other Asian markets.” And they ambushed rivals whenever they could. Karwal says when he came to know that Sony was ready to launch its flat-screen television, he rushed to Seoul and managed a consignment of 500 flat-screen televisions to launch first.
“I also got to know that Sony had booked the centrespread of a publication. So, I bought the wrap-around which said ours was the flattest thing on earth.”
The Japan factor
Still, LG and Samsung owe a debt to their neighbours across the sea — they were quick to adopt the best manufacturing practices of Japanese companies. Samsung, for instance, uses the just-in-time supply principal with its vendors — they need supply only when the factory demands. Its vendor development exercises could be straight out of the Japanese management textbook. “They (the Koreans) combine American marketing with Japanese manufacturing,” says Karwal.
So, where did the Japanese go wrong? An industry veteran, who for long worked with the Japanese, says they tested the waters in India for too long, and thereby lost the first-mover’s advantage to the Koreans. Panasonic India CEO Daizo Ito admits that the company has ratcheted up its focus only in the last one year. “Panasonic has been in the Indian market for long but, as a part of strategy, the focus has been increased exponentially since last year or so.” The Japanese also went after the premium slots in the market, and thereby missed the volumes. “LCD television is the only segment where we compete (with the Koreans) but here too our and their key target segments are different. We are focused on households with an annual income above Rs 5 lakh, unlike the Koreans,” says Sony India Managing Director Masaru Tamagawa.
The question is, have the Koreans taken an unassailable lead over the Japanese? The Japanese take heart from their large market share in automobiles, cameras, cordless phones, small appliances and LCD televisions. Panasonic, for one, is aiming for growth of over 100 per cent in each of the next two years, and double-digit market share in LCD television. “Coming from the Japanese domain, the quality and reliability of products is our strength. The challenge is to make this strength reach the consumer,” says Ito. “The retail experience is also the key. Therefore, we have continuously expanded our brand shops and presence at other retail counters.” But this is the game the Koreans seem to have perfected.
Trade relations
When the Koreans first came to India, the consumer electronics trade was archaic and in disarray. All producers had appointed distributors who then sold to the dealers. There was thus little direct contact between the dealer and the company. No company had a full portfolio of products, so the dealer had to deal with several producers and their distributors. Companies that did have more than one product had separate divisions for each line, which often didn’t talk to each other. This only compounded the dealer’s headache. Companies encouraged multiple dealers in every location — the rivalry kept the trade margins low.
“The first thing we did,” says Zutshi, “was that we cut out the distributor.” This, at one stroke, improved the profit margins of the dealers. More important, it improved their bankability. And dealers, who were reluctant to invest at the behest of the distributors, began to jazz up their showrooms. Of course, they began to push the Samsung brand with gusto, though its price tags were higher than those of Indian brands.
LG too took a new approach. Instead of going to all, it identified the best dealer in every locality, the one with maximum footfalls. It made sure that the dealer did not face competition from others in the vicinity. As a result, the dealer, who earlier got no more than 5 to 6 per cent commission on sale, now began to get as much as 12 per cent. This was unprecedented in the history of Indian consumer electronics. The goodwill helped LG and Samsung expand quickly to the heartland. And that was the key to its success. Ever since, dealership for a Korean brand has been more profitable than others.
This is a point even rivals do not dispute. Onida Vice-president (sales, service and marketing) Sriram K says that the Koreans invested upfront and got the rewards later. “At one point, LG was even known as a credit brand because of how flexible it had become in trade circles,” says he. “It realised that doing business in India needed flexibility and therefore extended credit to dealers unlike a lot of other multinationals. Now that it has strong relations with the trade, it has tightened the terms. But the initial flexibility helped it garner volumes.” That’s the learning.
Additional contribution with Amit Ranjan Rai & Sayantani Kar

SCORING BIG WITH SMALL
The Korean challenge in automobile is led by Hyundai. With 23 per cent of the car market, it is second in the pecking order after Maruti Suzuki. It has a factory that can make up to 600,000 cars in a year, wants to set up a diesel engine plant and has close to 300 dealers across 230 cities and towns. In 2009, almost 18 per cent of Hyundai’s worldwide sales happened in India. It’s good but not the same as in consumer electronics. That is perhaps because the Korean car industry has gone through consolidation: Hyundai acquired Kia, and bankrupt Daewoo was bought by General Motors.
Daewoo, in fact, was the first serious challenge to Maruti Suzuki. It had started out with the Cielo sedan. Daewoo had tasted success in China with big cars and saw no reason why Indian consumers should not move en masse to large cars. It put up a factory near Delhi that could make 60,000 Cielos in a year. But India remained a small car market. Daewoo then changed course and began to focus on the Matiz, a small car. But then the parent went belly up and Daewoo’s operations in India came to a grinding halt. Some Daewoo cars have now reappeared under the Chevrolet brand — the Optra, Spark et al.
That was the time when Suzuki was fighting a pitched battle with the Indian government over control of Maruti Suzuki. Between 1996 and 1998, as the two partners fought, Maruti Suzuki was paralysed and could not introduce new models. It had turned into a soft target. Trouble back home kept Daewoo from drawing maximum mileage out of the situation. The challenge was taken up by Hyundai. It set up a plant in Tamil Nadu — the bastion of the late Murasoli Maran who had led the government in its fight against Suzuki.
By 2002, the government and Suzuki had settled the row. This helped Maruti Suzuki shift gears and flood the market with new models. It became a company on a mission — Japanese executives even agreed to stay in a hostel close to the factory near Delhi. It still sits on over 52 per cent of the market. “Suzuki’s commitment to India in the auto sector has been whole-hearted, which reflects in the way the company operates here. Look at our management. Unlike Japanese companies in other segments, we have had a completely Indian management,” says Maruti Suzuki Chairman RC Bhargava.
Jagdish Khattar, who was the managing director of Maruti Suzuki from 1999 to 2007 and now runs a car-service venture called Carnation, says Maruti Suzuki has the upper hand in India as Suzuki’s core strength lies in small cars. That is because Japan is a small-car market. Korea, though it offers tax sops for small cars, is a large-car market.
But Hyundai has grown rapidly in India. “We have consistently outperformed the market,” says Hyundai Motor India Senior Vice-president (marketing & sales) Arvind Saxena. “This means our market share has grown consistently.” The company benchmarks itself against Toyota in quality, and has made India the hub for small cars. It has begun work on a new car that will be smaller than the Santro. It is lobbying hard against the Indo-Thai Free Trade Agreement which helps Japanese companies to source cheap components from Thailand. The Korean aggression is unmistakable. In comparison, Toyota and Honda, after spending almost a decade in the country, have only now begun to talk of a small car.

Nestle, Glaxo focus on rural-specific products


Seema Sindhu / Mumbai January 28, 2010, 0:30 IST

India Inc’s rural focus is undergoing a key shift. So far, the strategy was to only introduce smaller packs of their flagship brands at lower price points.
Companies like Nestle and GlaxoSmithkline Consumer Healthcare (GSK) are now taking a different route and launching products specifically for rural markets. GSK (maker of Horlicks), for instance, has launched Asha -- a low-cost variant (40 per cent cheaper than Horlicks) for rural markets only. Asha tastes slightly different and is priced at Rs 85 for a 500-gram pouch pack -– close to half the price of the original.
Nestle, too, recently launched Rs 2 and Rs 4 products -- Maggi Masala-ae-Magic and Maggi Rasile Chow, products which be first marketed in areas with low purchasing power. Maggie Rasile Chow has been developed especially for the rural/semi urban markets to provide low-cost, light meal fortified with iron. Masala-ae-Magic is a taste enhancer containing iron, iodine and vitamin A. Shivani Hegde, general manager (foods), Nestle India, says these products were developed to address the widespread concern about micro-nutrient malnutrition in India.
Anand Ramanathan, sector analyst from KPMG, confirms the shift in approach. “Till recently, most FMCG companies used to treat rural markets as adjuncts to their urban strongholds and rural consumers as a homogeneous mass without segmenting them into target markets and positioning brands appropriately. However, it is beyond doubt that the rural markets are not dumping grounds for low-end products basically designed for an urban audience. The winning strategy instead is to focus on their core competency such as technological expertise to design specific products for the rural economy.”
In the past, Britannia (with Tiger Iron Zor), Coca-Cola (with Vitingo) have distributed micro-nutrient enriched products for low-income group through partnerships with NGOs as CSR activities. But these were not-for-profit ventures.
Analysts believe these products have a bright chance of doing well in the rural markets. “Access to rural markets is through three routes -– firstly addressing the right need, secondly availability and thirdly being affordability. Consider Asha, there is a definitive need for giving something extra to the child (in terms of nutrition) that is currently being fulfilled through home-grown methods of providing wholesome food to the kid. Asha, an affordable health drink additive, is surely well placed to be a winner if the company can distribute the product well and reach out the rural masses,” believes Naimish Dave, Director, OC&C Strategy Consultants.
Analysts are hopeful of the success of such products as rural markets have tremendous potential. The purchasing power in rural India is on a steady rise and the market has been growing at 3-4 per cent per annum adding more than one million new consumers every year. It now accounts for close to half of volume consumption for FMCG companies.
Moreover, India is now seeing a dramatic shift towards prosperity in rural households. A National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER) study reveals there are as many ‘middle income and above’ households in the rural areas as there are in the urban areas. There are almost twice as many ‘lower middle income’ households in rural areas as in the urban areas.
Further, the proportion of the rural population that is dependent on agriculture has declined from 75 per cent in 1994 to less than 67 per cent and the share of agriculture in rural GDP has declined to 48 per cent from 60 per cent in 1994. In rural areas, people have been shifting away from agriculture to areas such as trade, construction, transport and communication. Those employed in the non-agricultural sector have around 2-2.5 times earnings of those in the agricultural sector. Given the potential, rural market-specific products ware bound to work for these companies, experts say.